Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Predictions , Preview, Lineups, H2h for October 4, 2025

On October 4, 2025, the Santiago Bernabéu will host a La Liga match between Real Madrid and Villarreal, kicking off at 21:00 Central European Time. Here’s a preview of the game.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid is coming off a strong 5-0 victory against Kairat in the Champions League, marking their second straight win in Europe and placing them second in their group with six points.

However, they faced a setback in La Liga last week, losing 2-5 to Atlético Madrid. This defeat ended their seven-match winning streak and allowed Barcelona to move ahead of them in the league standings. Despite this loss, Real Madrid has been dominant at home this season, winning all their matches at the Santiago Bernabéu, with two clean sheets and only two goals conceded.

Historically, Real Madrid has performed well against Villarreal at home, winning five of their last seven matches at the Bernabéu, with one draw and one loss. In these games, both teams have scored in five of the last seven encounters.

Villarreal

Villarreal is also participating in the Champions League, but their start has not been very strong. They lost their first match 0-1 away to Tottenham but bounced back with a 2-2 draw against Juventus at home, despite missing several chances.

In La Liga, Villarreal has recently turned their form around, winning three matches in a row after a two-match winless run. However, their away record has been inconsistent, with one win, one draw, and two losses in four away games.

The last time Villarreal won in Madrid was in 2023, with a 3-2 scoreline at the Bernabéu. However, they have not won against Real Madrid in their last four meetings, losing three and drawing once.

Probable lineups

• Real Madrid: Courtois, Fran García, Raúl Asensio, Heysen, Carreras, Valverde, Tchouaméni, Vinicius, Bellingham, Güler, Mbappé.
• Villarreal: Luis Junior, Cardona, Marín, Veiga, Mourinho, Parejo, Partey, Guye, Buchanan, Mikautadze, Pepe.

Key facts and head-to-head stats

• Real Madrid has won 10 of their last 11 matches.
• Real Madrid has won 12 of their last 13 home matches.
• Real Madrid has scored first in 3 of their last 4 matches.
• Villarreal has won 3 of their last 4 matches.
• Both teams have scored in 3 of Villarreal’s last 4 matches.
• Real Madrid has won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
• Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 7 meetings.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction

Both teams are entering this match in good form. Real Madrid has only lost once in the league this season and continues to play attacking football, though they can be vulnerable defensively. Villarreal is unbeaten in their last four matches and seems to be finding their rhythm. The head-to-head history favors Real, particularly at home, but these matches typically feature open play and goals from both sides. My prediction is that both teams will score, with odds at 1.58.