Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig: Prediction Preview, Lineups, H2h for September 13, 2025

On September 13, Mainz will face RB Leipzig in Bundesliga Matchday 3 at home. Here’s a look at both teams’ recent performances and a prediction for the match.

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Match preview

Mainz has performed well recently, finishing 6th in the Bundesliga during the 2024/25 season. In the off-season, they managed to keep most of their key players while making solid transfer moves.

This season started with mixed results for Mainz. They secured a 1-0 away win against Dresden in the DFB-Pokal and won against Rosenborg in the Conference League with a 6-3 aggregate. However, their league performance has been shaky. They lost to Köln in their first match, with the only goal coming in the 90th minute. In the following match, they managed a late equalizer for a 1-1 draw against Wolfsburg. Coach Bo Henriksen emphasizes quick transitions and counter-pressing, which has yielded some positive outcomes.

Leipzig is experiencing a challenging start to the season. After finishing seventh last year, the team made significant changes during the summer. In their first match of the 2025/26 season, they beat Sandhausen 4-2 in the DFB-Pokal. However, a severe 0-6 loss to Bayern in the Bundesliga opener highlighted issues within the team and sparked criticism towards head coach Ole Werner. They bounced back with a 2-0 victory against Heidenheim in their second match. The squad aims to build play using ball control and width but has not yet found success.

Probable line-ups

Mainz: Zentner, da Costa, Bell, Kohr, Caci, Sano, Amiri, Mwene, Lee, Norden, Weiper

Leipzig: Gulácsi, Baku, Orban, Lukeba, Raum, Banzuzi, Schlager, Baumgartner, Bakayoko, Nusa, Romulo

Match facts and head-to-head

• Mainz has three wins, one draw, and Leipzig has one win in their last five encounters
• Four of Mainz’s last six matches have had fewer than three goals
• Leipzig has not drawn in their last nine games: five wins and four losses

Prediction

Recent matches between these teams have generally seen few goals. Mainz has found it difficult to score against similarly matched teams early in the season. My prediction: total goals under (3) at 1.75 odds.